Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.503207 1.735460 1.991117 2.293350 2.640853 3.027885 3.491687
2025-04-27 1.236497 1.553384 1.931815 2.416819 3.021851 3.751796 4.699705
2025-05-04 1.026798 1.388368 1.851845 2.488997 3.342020 4.444823 5.979847
2025-05-11 0.855441 1.235182 1.753683 2.512450 3.594192 5.081220 7.282523
2025-05-18 0.700442 1.073358 1.612475 2.447267 3.706851 5.536810 8.400199
2025-05-25 0.568098 0.919193 1.453942 2.325773 3.711009 5.827359 9.310067
2025-06-01 0.488549 0.830903 1.377862 2.312708 3.869950 6.360952 10.653197
2025-06-08 0.418370 0.745350 1.291488 2.266796 3.964286 6.797786 11.892810
2025-06-15 0.389911 0.725111 1.308440 2.393230 4.359209 7.772196 14.154867
2025-06-22 0.352223 0.682191 1.279153 2.432647 4.604563 8.517259 16.110372
2025-06-29 0.311532 0.627183 1.219737 2.407184 4.725673 9.051753 17.747084
2025-07-06 0.267485 0.558883 1.125640 2.301752 4.679339 9.267343 18.804073
2025-07-13 0.247756 0.537537 1.121758 2.377772 5.007816 10.258451 21.549362
2025-07-20 0.234057 0.526678 1.137482 2.496348 5.440136 11.513112 25.007093
2025-07-27 0.217043 0.506046 1.130033 2.565180 5.778584 12.622218 28.319416
2025-08-03 0.198025 0.477926 1.102436 2.585954 6.015826 13.549481 31.369739
2025-08-10 0.174827 0.436437 1.039183 2.516936 6.042071 14.021713 33.472350
2025-08-17 0.151020 0.389629 0.956848 2.390928 5.917628 14.138004 34.768827
2025-08-24 0.137097 0.365028 0.923305 2.376858 6.056848 14.877437 37.639259
2025-08-31 0.122948 0.337592 0.878905 2.329315 6.106965 15.411578 40.082603
2025-09-07 0.119365 0.337427 0.902725 2.458962 6.622057 17.142471 45.758825
2025-09-14 0.111684 0.324928 0.893010 2.499309 6.911285 18.346477 50.244871
2025-09-21 0.101841 0.304832 0.860335 2.473076 7.019545 19.100875 53.648465